The
Western Cape Provincial Government is playing prediction games to produce shocking
figures to PANIC us into believing that the number of Corona deaths will jump
from the current 1008 to an incredible 9 300.
In
a front page lead story recently the Sunday
Times revealed that our ANC National Government had not been putting us
fully in the picture about its Virus plans because it did not want to spread
PANIC.
Alan
Winde the Democratic Alliance ’s Western Cape
Premier has been getting these startling figures from Dr Sheetal Silal a senior
lecturer in the Department of Statistical Science at the University of Cape Town .
She is also head of the Modelling and Simulation Hub, Africa
(MASHA).
Winde
it seems is putting more faith in maths than doctors and scientists to tell him
what the Virus is likely to do next. And
what’s more it’s maths that is like the video games Minecraft or Simcity,
according to Dr Silal.
Her research ‘games’ involve mathematical modelling where
she says you use a “virtual reality of how a disease might spread.”
The UCT News quoted her as saying that her most surprising
research finding was that it was only possible to eliminate malaria in South Africa if the incidence of it was dramatically
lowered in our neighbouring Moza mbique - hardly
a dramatic conclusion.
What is surprising is that with this as her background she
has been called upon to predict the death toll among 6-million people when
there must be numerous other people better qualified.
It’s like calling in an expert like her to tell you if you
are likely to get Covid- 19 because your wife, who sleeps with you in the same
bed, has got it.
Her maths calculations have revealed that the Western Cape death toll
predictions, in other words guesses that have risen from 4500 to 6500 will now
rocket up to 9300.
She hedges her bets by saying: “This may not play out over
the long term. What we may find is that the mortality rate may change in the
coming weeks and will adjust our overall predictions taking that into account.”
You don’t need to be any kind of expert to arrive at this
kind of conclusion. Just about anybody could have told Winde that and saved the
Province the cost of the doctor’s fee.
According to her “Galileo said: ‘Mathematics is the
language in which God has written the Universe.’ We can use maths to portray
how a disease behaves, examine how we can intervene to manage it and even learn
new things about its epidemiology.”
Surely if God had anything to do with it we would not have
a Virus like this that is bringing so much suffering to people around the
world.
Not to be outdone by the Western Cape
the Eastern Cape ’s
Command Council has joined the PANIC Promoters with a guesstimate of 5500 to
6000 deaths over the next three months. They’ll have to get a move on as only 138
people have been killed by the Virus so far.
Having watched the seven news channels that are available
to me ever since this PANIC started I was amazed to see one of them
interviewing a doctor a couple of days ago and he told us something I had never
heard any so called scientist or expert tell us about the Virus before.
His message was: We should be concentrating on the 98% of
infected people who have survived the Virus and not the relatively small number
who have died.
Why are there so few people like him? Not only does he have
the sense to realise the importance of this but he also has the guts to say it
on television. I won’t tell you who he is in case he gets ostracised by the
PANIC Promoters. They are very much in the majority aided and abetted by every
government in the world, because you can’t keep populations adhering to a host
of unnecessary Corona
regulations without keeping them in a constant state of PANIC.
And the proven way to do this is with unending, regular
doses of Death statistics, both real and predicted.
CNN recently carried a message on the screen before its
news bullets telling us in effect that the only way to beat the Virus is with
facts, nothing else.
Well, predictions are not facts so if CNN is right we are
being hoodwinked by governments that keep giving us outlandish guesstimates to
frighten the hell out of us. What other purpose could they possibly serve?
Regards,
Jon
P.S. Keep well. Unfortunately we will all be
affected by the crazy PANIC that is devastating far more lives than any Virus.
It’s hard to believe that MAN, the so called most sophisticate form of life on
this planet could be stampeded into mass destruction by a Virus so small that
nobody can actually see it.
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